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Abstract: TH-PO1022

Impact of the CKD-EPI 2021 Equation on the Classification of CKD in Older Australian Adults

Session Information

Category: CKD (Non-Dialysis)

  • 2301 CKD (Non-Dialysis): Epidemiology, Risk Factors, and Prevention

Authors

  • Bongetti, Elisa K., Monash University Department of Medicine, Clayton, Victoria, Australia
  • Wolfe, Rory, Monash University, School of Public Health and Preventative Medicine, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
  • Wetmore, James B., Division of Nephrology, Hennepin Healthcare, Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States
  • Murray, Anne M., Berman Center for Outcomes and Clinical Research and Department of Medicine, Hennepin Healthcare Research Institute, and Department of Medicine, Geriatrics Division, Hennepin Healthcare, Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States
  • Woods, Robyn L., Monash University, School of Public Health and Preventative Medicine, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
  • Fravel, Michelle A., Department of Pharmacy Practice and Science, College of Pharmacy; The University of Iowa, Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States
  • Nelson, Mark, University of Tasmania Menzies Institute for Medical Research, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia
  • Stocks, Nigel, Adelaide Medical School, Discipline of General Practice, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
  • Orchard, Suzanne G., Monash University, School of Public Health and Preventative Medicine, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
  • Polkinghorne, Kevan, Department of Nephrology, Monash Health, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
Background

A recalibrated version of CKD-EPI2009, without a race coefficient, was released in 2021 (CKD-EPI2021). This updated equation, implemented in the US, can result in the reclassification of chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage in a significant proportion of individuals. The aim of this study was to investigate the clinical impact of transitioning from the 2009 CKD-EPI (CKD-EPI2009) to the 2021 CKD-EPI (CKD-EPI2021) estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) equation in generally healthy older Australians.

Methods

This was a prospective cohort study using data from 16,244 Australian community-dwelling adults aged ≥70 years, in the ASPirin in Reducing events in the Elderly (ASPREE) study cohort. Baseline characteristics and long-term health outcomes were compared in participants who were reclassified to a different chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage with CKD-EPI2021 versus those with unchanged classification.

Results

With CKD-EPI2021, baseline eGFR increased by a median of 3.8 mL/min/1.73m2 (interquartile range [IQR] 3.3, 4.4) resulting in the reclassification of 3,106 (20%) participants to a less advanced CKD stage and the reduction in the prevalence of CKD from 17% to 12%. Over a median follow-up period of 6.5 years (IQR 5.4, 7.9), there was no difference in disability-free survival (HR: 0.94, 95%CI:0.84-1.05), mortality (HR: 0.90, 95%CI:0.78-1.03), major cardiac events (HR: 0.94, 95%CI:0.79-1.13), or hospitalisations for heart failure (HR: 1.00, 95%CI:0.67-1.49) in reclassified, versus non-reclassified, participants.

Conclusion

Implementing CKD-EPI2021 would raise eGFR by a median of nearly 4 ml/min/1.73m2, substantially reducing the proportion of older Australian adults classified as having CKD with no difference in long-term health outcomes among reclassified people. Transitioning to using the CKD-EPI2021 may result in a significant reduction in nephrology referrals in generally healthy, older adults.

Funding

  • Other NIH Support